Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.027100 0.029765 0.032400 0.035197 0.038075 0.040945 0.044020
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.021694 0.025973 0.030324 0.035050 0.040015 0.045055 0.050540
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.018310 0.023675 0.029259 0.035438 0.042027 0.048798 0.056242
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.014922 0.020976 0.027433 0.034704 0.042563 0.050726 0.059775
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.012584 0.019184 0.026383 0.034615 0.043613 0.053034 0.063549
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010448 0.017424 0.025219 0.034266 0.044259 0.054802 0.066635
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.008501 0.015716 0.023990 0.033740 0.044618 0.056176 0.069217
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.006340 0.013551 0.022110 0.032382 0.043976 0.056392 0.070482
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005617 0.013124 0.022212 0.033225 0.045730 0.059174 0.074474
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004597 0.012207 0.021672 0.033286 0.046571 0.060921 0.077306
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003302 0.010761 0.020415 0.032461 0.046371 0.061486 0.078817
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002485 0.009889 0.019812 0.032361 0.046958 0.062889 0.081211
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.008636 0.018794 0.031894 0.047285 0.064184 0.083699
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000719 0.007550 0.017962 0.031661 0.047915 0.065864 0.086670
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000294 0.006888 0.017643 0.032020 0.049207 0.068264 0.090416
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005693 0.016496 0.031309 0.049215 0.069192 0.092505
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004929 0.015885 0.031223 0.049921 0.070878 0.095404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004108 0.015110 0.030887 0.050302 0.072169 0.097840
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003284 0.014234 0.030380 0.050450 0.073171 0.099928
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002218 0.012791 0.029072 0.049602 0.073007 0.100688
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002085 0.012962 0.029884 0.051290 0.075732 0.104665
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001688 0.012585 0.029943 0.052053 0.077380 0.107419
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001061 0.011607 0.029148 0.051754 0.077789 0.108764